Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Dukla Banská Bystrica and Podbrezová, the 1X2 probabilities show Dukla at 29%, a draw at 25%, and Podbrezová at 46%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals are 1.52 for Dukla Banská Bystrica and 1.47 for Podbrezová, indicating a close contest.
Both teams to score has a 61% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 57%. However, Dukla's recent form shows inconsistency with a record of W-L-W-L-D-W, which could impact their performance. Podbrezová's recent form is weaker at L-W-D-L-D-L, but they might find opportunities against Dukla's defense.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová: model vs market
| Source | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Draw | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Published | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Edge | +11% | +2% | -14% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Podbrezová, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 3.58 | 3.45 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.75 | -0.05 |
| Podbrezová | 1.86 | 1.87 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Podbrezová expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Podbrezová)
- 0.82 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Podbrezová)
- 1.17 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dukla Banská Bystrica goals. Columns: Podbrezová goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Podbrezová | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw) | 54% | 1.84 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Podbrezová) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbrezová win by 2+ | 17% | 5.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Podbrezová recent form
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3W 1D 2L
Podbrezová
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dukla Banská Bystrica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Podbrezová away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dukla Banská Bystrica at home only, Podbrezová away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Komárno vs Ružomberok 2026-10-17
- Skalica v AS Trencin — match page 2026-10-17
- Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice 2026-10-18
- Žilina v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Dukla Banská Bystrica, previous: AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: odds and pick
- Podbrezová, previous: Podbrezová v Spartak Trnava analysis