Žilina vs Dunajska Streda preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Žilina and Dunajska Streda, the 1X2 probabilities show Dunajska Streda at 46% to win, while Žilina is at 31%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which occurs at a rate of 7%. With expected goals of 2.06 for Žilina and 2.48 for Dunajska Streda, there is a strong indication for Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 81%.
Žilina's recent form includes 4 wins and 2 draws, while Dunajska Streda has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 7 matches. The head-to-head record shows Žilina with 2 wins, Dunajska Streda with 1 win, and 1 draw in their last 4 encounters. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Žilina vs Dunajska Streda: model vs market
| Source | Žilina | Draw | Dunajska Streda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Published | 33% | 24% | 44% |
| Edge | 0% | -5% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 2.06.
- The market prices Dunajska Streda below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Žilina vs Dunajska Streda odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dunajska Streda, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Žilina | 3.02 | 2.81 | -0.21 |
| Draw | 3.81 | 3.71 | -0.10 |
| Dunajska Streda | 2.01 | 2.15 | +0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Žilina and Dunajska Streda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.54
- Attack rating (Žilina / Dunajska Streda)
- 1.38 / 1.52
- Defence rating (Žilina / Dunajska Streda)
- 1.18 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Žilina vs Dunajska Streda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Žilina goals. Columns: Dunajska Streda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Žilina vs Dunajska Streda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Žilina vs Dunajska Streda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 33% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Dunajska Streda | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.24 |
| No | 19% | 5.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Žilina or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunajska Streda) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win by 2+ | 30% | 3.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Žilina and Dunajska Streda recent form
Žilina
4W 2D 0L
Dunajska Streda
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Žilina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunajska Streda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Žilina at home only, Dunajska Streda away only.
Žilina vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Žilina 2 · draws 1 · Dunajska Streda 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Dunajska Streda | 3-1 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-03-21 | Žilina | 3-1 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-02-28 | Žilina | 0-0 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-19 | Dunajska Streda | 1-2 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Komárno vs Ružomberok 2026-10-17
- Skalica v AS Trencin — match page 2026-10-17
- Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice 2026-10-18
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Žilina, previous: Ružomberok vs Žilina: odds and pick
- Dunajska Streda, previous: Dunajska Streda – Zemplín Michalovce, 2026-10-10