Updated

Slovakia Super Liga · Matchday 11

Komárno vs Ružomberok

Alin prediction Komárno to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KomárnoDrawRužomberok
Best market odds
Komárno2.12 Draw3.64 Ružomberok3.25
Bet on Komárno

Komárno vs Ružomberok preview

In the Slovakia Super Liga, Komárno faces Ružomberok with a 42% chance for Komárno to win, compared to 28% for Ružomberok. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs with an 11% probability. The expected goals show Komárno at 1.32 and Ružomberok at 1.04, indicating a tighter match.

Both teams to score stands at 49%, suggesting a balanced attacking performance from both sides. However, recent form reveals Komárno with four draws in their last five matches, while Ružomberok has lost three of their last five. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the predicted scoreline.

Komárno vs Ružomberok: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKomárnoDrawRužomberok
Model40%29%30%
Market45%26%30%
Published44%27%30%
Edge-5%+4%+1%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Komárno vs Ružomberok odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Komárno, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 2.08Now 2.05 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Komárno2.082.05-0.03
Draw3.643.58-0.06
Ružomberok3.053.11+0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Komárno and Ružomberok expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.35Komárno
1.15Ružomberok
Total expected goals
2.50
Attack rating (Komárno / Ružomberok)
0.72 / 0.85
Defence rating (Komárno / Ružomberok)
0.98 / 1.20

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Komárno vs Ružomberok score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.5% 8.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8% 1 9.8% 14.0% 7.3% 2.8% 1.0% 2 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7% 3 3.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Komárno goals. Columns: Ružomberok goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Komárno vs Ružomberok goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Komárno vs Ružomberok

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Komárno44%2.29
Draw27%3.76
Ružomberok30%3.36
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.19
Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.93
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Komárno or draw)70%1.42
12 (either side)73%1.36
X2 (draw or Ružomberok)56%1.77
Handicap -1Komárno win by 2+19%5.20
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Komárno and Ružomberok recent form

Komárno 0W 4D 2L
Ružomberok 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Komárno at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.

Ružomberok away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
2.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Komárno at home only, Ružomberok away only.

Komárno vs Ružomberok head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Komárno 4 · draws 1 · Ružomberok 4.

KomárnoDrawsRužomberok
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-18Ružomberok2-1KomárnoSlovakia Super Liga
2026-03-08Komárno3-0RužomberokSlovakia Super Liga
2026-02-28Komárno1-1RužomberokSlovakia Super Liga
2025-10-18Ružomberok0-1KomárnoSlovakia Super Liga
2025-05-17Komárno1-2RužomberokSuper Liga
2025-03-08Ružomberok0-1KomárnoSuper Liga
2024-11-24Ružomberok1-3KomárnoSuper Liga
2024-11-13Ružomberok2-0KomárnoCup
2024-09-24Komárno1-2RužomberokSuper Liga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Komárno to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Komárno