Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga match between Spartak Trnava and Slovan Bratislava, the 1X2 probabilities show Spartak Trnava at 36%, Slovan Bratislava at 39%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with both teams expected to score, as indicated by a 67% probability for "both teams to score" and a 70% chance for "Over 2.5 goals."
Spartak Trnava's expected goals are 2.32, while Slovan Bratislava's are 1.31. Recent form shows Spartak Trnava with a record of W-D-W-D-L-W, while Slovan Bratislava has D-W-D-L-L-L. The head-to-head record favors Slovan Bratislava, who have 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 encounters. A potential upset could occur if Spartak Trnava improves their consistency.
Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava: model vs market
| Source | Spartak Trnava | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Published | 36% | 24% | 39% |
| Edge | +31% | -4% | -26% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovan Bratislava, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 3.24 | 3.20 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.61 | -0.01 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.99 | 2.00 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Spartak Trnava and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Spartak Trnava / Slovan Bratislava)
- 1.36 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Spartak Trnava / Slovan Bratislava)
- 0.81 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Spartak Trnava goals. Columns: Slovan Bratislava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Spartak Trnava or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Slovan Bratislava) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win by 2+ | 8% | 11.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Spartak Trnava and Slovan Bratislava recent form
Spartak Trnava
3W 2D 1L
Slovan Bratislava
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Spartak Trnava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Slovan Bratislava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Spartak Trnava at home only, Slovan Bratislava away only.
Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Spartak Trnava 0 · draws 1 · Slovan Bratislava 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Spartak Trnava | 0-1 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-11 | Slovan Bratislava | 2-2 | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-02-28 | Slovan Bratislava | 4-0 | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-18 | Spartak Trnava | 0-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Komárno vs Ružomberok 2026-10-17
- Skalica v AS Trencin — match page 2026-10-17
- Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice 2026-10-18
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Žilina v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Spartak Trnava, previous: Podbrezová v Spartak Trnava analysis
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
- Slovan Bratislava, next: Roma – Slovan Bratislava, 2026-10-20