Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart preview
In the UEFA Champions League fixture between Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart, the 1X2 probabilities show VfB Stuttgart at 60% and Slovan Bratislava at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 2.78 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.72 for VfB Stuttgart.
While the model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 78%, unexpected events like defensive errors or a lack of finishing could lead to fewer goals than anticipated. Additionally, recent form shows Slovan Bratislava with a mixed record of W-D-L-L-L-W, while VfB Stuttgart has also struggled, with L-L-W-W-L-W.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: model vs market
| Source | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| Market | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| Published | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| Edge | +49% | +3% | -51% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart odds movement
Median bookmaker price on VfB Stuttgart, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-07.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava | 8.50 | 8.88 | +0.38 |
| Draw | 5.70 | 6.00 | +0.30 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.30 | 1.29 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.50
- Attack rating (Slovan Bratislava / VfB Stuttgart)
- 1.16 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Slovan Bratislava / VfB Stuttgart)
- 1.06 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovan Bratislava goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 23% | 4.37 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.07 | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.29 |
| No | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovan Bratislava or draw) | 39% | 2.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or VfB Stuttgart) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | VfB Stuttgart win by 2+ | 11% | 9.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart recent form
Slovan Bratislava
2W 1D 3L
VfB Stuttgart
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovan Bratislava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Bratislava at home only, VfB Stuttgart away only.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
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- Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe — match page 2026-10-14
- Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Roma vs Real Madrid 2026-10-14
- Real Betis v FC Porto — match page 2026-10-14
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica prediction
- VfB Stuttgart, previous: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction