FK Košice vs Žilina preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga, FK Košice faces Žilina with a 44% chance for Košice to win and a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 6%. The model shows a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams to score at 82%. This suggests an attacking match, with expected goals of 2.39 for Košice and 2.31 for Žilina.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. FK Košice has drawn three of their last six matches, while Žilina has won three of their last five. Additionally, in their last three encounters, Košice has not secured a win against Žilina, recording 2 draws and 1 loss. This head-to-head record might challenge the predicted scoreline.
FK Košice vs Žilina: model vs market
| Source | FK Košice | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Published | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| Edge | -4% | -4% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
FK Košice vs Žilina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FK Košice, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Košice | 2.03 | 2.03 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.92 | 3.92 | +0.00 |
| Žilina | 2.98 | 2.98 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FK Košice and Žilina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.70
- Attack rating (FK Košice / Žilina)
- 1.24 / 1.40
- Defence rating (FK Košice / Žilina)
- 1.19 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Košice vs Žilina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Košice goals. Columns: Žilina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Košice vs Žilina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 82%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Košice vs Žilina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Žilina | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82% | 1.22 |
| No | 18% | 5.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Košice or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Žilina) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Košice win by 2+ | 25% | 4.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FK Košice and Žilina recent form
FK Košice
2W 3D 1L
Žilina
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Košice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Košice at home only, Žilina away only.
FK Košice vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FK Košice 0 · draws 2 · Žilina 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Žilina | 4-4 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-02-22 | FK Košice | 2-2 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-04 | Žilina | 4-1 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Zemplín Michalovce v Podbrezová — match page 2026-10-24
- Skalica v Spartak Trnava — match page 2026-10-24
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok 2026-10-24
- Komárno vs AS Trencin 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FK Košice, previous: Zemplín Michalovce v FK Košice analysis
- Žilina, previous: Žilina vs Dunajska Streda: odds and pick