Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok preview
Dunajska Streda faces Ružomberok with a strong 78% probability of winning, while Ružomberok has just an 8% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Dunajska Streda's expected goals of 2.90 compared to Ružomberok's 0.89. With a 73% chance of Over 2.5 goals, the match could see multiple goals, but the 56% probability of both teams to score indicates Ružomberok may struggle to find the net.
Dunajska Streda's recent form shows 6 matches unbeaten, while Ružomberok has only 2 wins in their last 6. The head-to-head record favors Dunajska Streda with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 encounters. However, a draw is still a possibility at 14%, which could disrupt the expected outcome.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok: model vs market
| Source | Dunajska Streda | Draw | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Published | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Edge | +7% | -3% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dunajska Streda below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dunajska Streda, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunajska Streda | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.25 | +0.00 |
| Ružomberok | 7.50 | 7.50 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.91
- Attack rating (Dunajska Streda / Ružomberok)
- 1.75 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Dunajska Streda / Ružomberok)
- 0.82 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunajska Streda goals. Columns: Ružomberok goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.97 | |
| Ružomberok | 11% | 8.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunajska Streda or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Ružomberok) | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win by 2+ | 59% | 1.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok recent form
Dunajska Streda
5W 1D 0L
Ružomberok
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunajska Streda at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ružomberok away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunajska Streda at home only, Ružomberok away only.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Dunajska Streda 2 · draws 1 · Ružomberok 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ružomberok | 1-1 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | Ružomberok | 0-1 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-09 | Dunajska Streda | 2-0 | Ružomberok | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Zemplín Michalovce v Podbrezová — match page 2026-10-24
- Skalica v Spartak Trnava — match page 2026-10-24
- Komárno vs AS Trencin 2026-10-25
- FK Košice vs Žilina — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Dunajska Streda, previous: Žilina vs Dunajska Streda: odds and pick
- Ružomberok, previous: Komárno – Ružomberok, 2026-10-17