Komárno vs AS Trencin preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Komárno and AS Trencin, the 1X2 probabilities show Komárno at 37%, AS Trencin at 33%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0 in favor of Komárno, with a 9% chance.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 45%. Komárno's expected goals are 1.28, slightly higher than AS Trencin's 1.20. Recent form shows Komárno struggling with 5 matches without a win, while AS Trencin has won 2 of their last 6. These factors could influence the outcome, particularly if AS Trencin finds their scoring touch.
Komárno vs AS Trencin: model vs market
| Source | Komárno | Draw | AS Trencin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Edge | -12% | +5% | +7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Komárno vs AS Trencin odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Komárno, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Komárno | 1.88 | 1.88 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.76 | 3.76 | +0.00 |
| AS Trencin | 3.51 | 3.51 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Komárno and AS Trencin expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Komárno / AS Trencin)
- 0.66 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Komárno / AS Trencin)
- 0.94 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Komárno vs AS Trencin score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Komárno goals. Columns: AS Trencin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Komárno vs AS Trencin goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Komárno vs AS Trencin
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| AS Trencin | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Komárno or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or AS Trencin) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Komárno win by 2+ | 17% | 5.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Komárno and AS Trencin recent form
Komárno
0W 4D 2L
AS Trencin
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Komárno at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
AS Trencin away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Komárno at home only, AS Trencin away only.
Komárno vs AS Trencin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Komárno 2 · draws 1 · AS Trencin 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | AS Trencin | 1-1 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-05-03 | AS Trencin | 1-2 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-05 | Komárno | 0-1 | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-25 | AS Trencin | 0-1 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-26 | Komárno | 1-2 | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Zemplín Michalovce v Podbrezová — match page 2026-10-24
- Skalica v Spartak Trnava — match page 2026-10-24
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok 2026-10-24
- FK Košice vs Žilina — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Komárno, previous: Komárno – Ružomberok, 2026-10-17
- AS Trencin, previous: Skalica v AS Trencin analysis