Updated

Slovakia Super Liga · Matchday 13

AS Trencin vs FK Košice

Alin prediction FK Košice to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AS TrencinDrawFK Košice
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

AS Trencin vs FK Košice preview

The fixture between AS Trencin and FK Košice shows a 29% probability for AS Trencin to win, while FK Košice has a 49% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, indicating a strong possibility for FK Košice to secure a victory. Both teams to score stands at 72%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 73%, suggesting a high-scoring match.

AS Trencin's recent form includes 2 wins and 3 losses, while FK Košice has had 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The expected goals are 1.66 for AS Trencin and 2.15 for FK Košice, which aligns with the prediction of a close contest. However, AS Trencin's home advantage and their past head-to-head record of 3 wins against FK Košice's 1 could influence the outcome.

AS Trencin vs FK Košice: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAS TrencinDrawFK Košice
Model30%24%46%
Market———
Published30%24%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

AS Trencin and FK Košice expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.53AS Trencin
1.91FK Košice
Total expected goals
3.44
Attack rating (AS Trencin / FK Košice)
0.83 / 1.25
Defence rating (AS Trencin / FK Košice)
1.09 / 1.19

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

AS Trencin vs FK Košice score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 3.7% 2.7% 1 4.0% 10.3% 8.9% 5.7% 4.2% 2 3.8% 7.2% 6.8% 4.3% 3.2% 3 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.6% 4+ 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.9%

Rows: AS Trencin goals. Columns: FK Košice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

AS Trencin vs FK Košice goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 67%
Over 3.5 45%
Both teams to score
68%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for AS Trencin vs FK Košice

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2AS Trencin30%3.30
Draw24%4.17
FK Košice46%2.19
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567%1.50
Under 2.533%3.01
Both teams to scoreYes68%1.48
No32%3.09
Double chance1X (AS Trencin or draw)54%1.84
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or FK Košice)70%1.43
Handicap -1FK Košice win by 2+26%3.85
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

AS Trencin and FK Košice recent form

AS Trencin 1W 1D 4L
FK Košice 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

AS Trencin at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Košice away

Record (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
2.60
Goals against / match
2.80
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: AS Trencin at home only, FK Košice away only.

AS Trencin vs FK Košice head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: AS Trencin 3 · draws 1 · FK Košice 1.

AS TrencinDrawsFK Košice
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-01FK Košice3-3AS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga
2026-05-16AS Trencin3-0FK KošiceSlovakia Super Liga
2026-03-07FK Košice2-0AS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga
2025-11-08AS Trencin2-0FK KošiceSlovakia Super Liga
2025-08-10FK Košice0-1AS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FK Košice to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on FK Košice