Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda preview
Dukla Banská Bystrica faces Dunajska Streda with a 10% chance of winning for the home side compared to 74% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with our model indicating a 9% probability. Dunajska Streda's recent form shows 6 matches unbeaten, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has mixed results with 2 wins in their last 6 games.
Both teams to score is at 61%, and there's a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 74%. However, Dukla Banská Bystrica's expected goals are only 1.02, which could limit their scoring potential. If they struggle to convert chances, it may affect the predicted outcome.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda: model vs market
| Source | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Draw | Dunajska Streda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.84
- Attack rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Dunajska Streda)
- 0.86 / 1.88
- Defence rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Dunajska Streda)
- 1.08 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dukla Banská Bystrica goals. Columns: Dunajska Streda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10% | 9.82 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.39 | |
| Dunajska Streda | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw) | 26% | 3.87 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunajska Streda) | 90% | 1.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win by 2+ | 55% | 1.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dukla Banská Bystrica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Dunajska Streda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dukla Banská Bystrica at home only, Dunajska Streda away only.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Dukla Banská Bystrica 0 · draws 0 · Dunajska Streda 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Dunajska Streda | 2-0 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Slovakia Super Liga |
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Before and after this match
- Dukla Banská Bystrica, previous: Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: odds and pick
- Dunajska Streda, previous: FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda prediction