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Slovakia Super Liga · Matchday 13

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda

Alin prediction Dunajska Streda to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Dukla Banská BystricaDrawDunajska Streda
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda preview

Dukla Banská Bystrica faces Dunajska Streda with a 10% chance of winning for the home side compared to 74% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with our model indicating a 9% probability. Dunajska Streda's recent form shows 6 matches unbeaten, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has mixed results with 2 wins in their last 6 games.

Both teams to score is at 61%, and there's a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 74%. However, Dukla Banská Bystrica's expected goals are only 1.02, which could limit their scoring potential. If they struggle to convert chances, it may affect the predicted outcome.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDukla Banská BystricaDrawDunajska Streda
Model10%16%74%
Market———
Published10%16%74%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.83Dunajska Streda
Total expected goals
3.84
Attack rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Dunajska Streda)
0.86 / 1.88
Defence rating (Dukla Banská Bystrica / Dunajska Streda)
1.08 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.8% 5.4% 8.6% 8.1% 11.4% 1 1.6% 6.8% 8.7% 8.2% 11.5% 2 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 5.9% 3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6%

Rows: Dukla Banská Bystrica goals. Columns: Dunajska Streda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 74%
Over 3.5 54%
Both teams to score
61%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dukla Banská Bystrica10%9.82
Draw16%6.39
Dunajska Streda74%1.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.36
Under 2.526%3.82
Both teams to scoreYes61%1.65
No39%2.54
Double chance1X (Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw)26%3.87
12 (either side)84%1.19
X2 (draw or Dunajska Streda)90%1.11
Handicap -1Dunajska Streda win by 2+55%1.83
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda recent form

Dukla Banská Bystrica 3W 1D 2L
Dunajska Streda 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dukla Banská Bystrica at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Dunajska Streda away

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Win rate
83%
Goals for / match
3.33
Goals against / match
0.83
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dukla Banská Bystrica at home only, Dunajska Streda away only.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Dukla Banská Bystrica 0 · draws 0 · Dunajska Streda 1.

Dukla Banská BystricaDrawsDunajska Streda
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-02Dunajska Streda2-0Dukla Banská BystricaSlovakia Super Liga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Dunajska Streda to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Dunajska Streda