Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture, Žilina holds a 59% chance to win against Zemplín Michalovce, who has a 20% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Žilina's expected goals stand at 2.41, while Zemplín Michalovce's is 1.38, suggesting a potential for a high-scoring match.
Both teams to score has a 69% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals is at 73%. However, recent form shows Žilina with mixed results (L-D-W-D-W-W) and Zemplín Michalovce struggling (L-D-L-W-L-W), which could impact the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce: model vs market
| Source | Žilina | Draw | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 19% |
| Published | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.37.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Žilina, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Žilina | 1.52 | 1.52 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.00 |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 4.97 | 4.97 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.82
- Attack rating (Žilina / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 1.41 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Žilina / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 1.25 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Žilina goals. Columns: Zemplín Michalovce goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 | |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Žilina or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Zemplín Michalovce) | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win by 2+ | 40% | 2.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce recent form
Žilina
2W 3D 1L
Zemplín Michalovce
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Žilina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemplín Michalovce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Žilina at home only, Zemplín Michalovce away only.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Žilina 4 · draws 0 · Zemplín Michalovce 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Zemplín Michalovce | 0-1 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-05-05 | Žilina | 3-2 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-04 | Zemplín Michalovce | 2-1 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | Žilina | 2-0 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-09 | Zemplín Michalovce | 2-4 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- AS Trencin vs FK Košice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Spartak Trnava vs Komárno 2026-10-31
- Podbrezová v Slovan Bratislava — match page 2026-10-31
- Ružomberok vs Skalica — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Dukla Banská Bystrica v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Žilina, previous: FK Košice v Žilina analysis
- Zemplín Michalovce, previous: Zemplín Michalovce – Podbrezová, 2026-10-24