Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga, Komárno has a 53% chance to win against Zemplín Michalovce, who has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Komárno's expected goals stand at 1.32, while Zemplín Michalovce's is lower at 0.91.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score has a 45% chance, indicating that Zemplín Michalovce could find the net. Additionally, Komárno's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 6 matches. Zemplín Michalovce has only 1 win in their last 6, but they did achieve a victory in their last head-to-head encounter.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce: model vs market
| Source | Komárno | Draw | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.91.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Komárno, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Komárno | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.96 | 3.96 | -0.00 |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 4.54 | 4.45 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Komárno / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 0.69 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Komárno / Zemplín Michalovce)
- 0.84 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Komárno goals. Columns: Zemplín Michalovce goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 22% | 4.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Komárno or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Zemplín Michalovce) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Komárno win by 2+ | 21% | 4.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce recent form
Komárno
1W 3D 2L
Zemplín Michalovce
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Komárno at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Zemplín Michalovce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Komárno at home only, Zemplín Michalovce away only.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Komárno 0 · draws 2 · Zemplín Michalovce 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Zemplín Michalovce | 1-1 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-02 | Komárno | 1-1 | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-02 | Zemplín Michalovce | 3-1 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Skalica v Žilina — match page 2026-11-07
- Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice 2026-11-07
- Podbrezová v Ružomberok — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Komárno, previous: Spartak Trnava v Komárno analysis
- Zemplín Michalovce, previous: Žilina – Zemplín Michalovce, 2026-10-31