Skalica vs Žilina preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga, Skalica faces Žilina with 23% chances for Skalica to win, 21% for a draw, and 56% for Žilina. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 69%.
Skalica's expected goals are 1.44, while Žilina's are 2.30. Recent form shows Skalica with two draws and three losses, while Žilina has two wins and three draws. The head-to-head record in the last three matches is evenly split with one win each and one draw. A surprise result could come from Skalica improving their form or Žilina underperforming.
Skalica vs Žilina: model vs market
| Source | Skalica | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Published | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Edge | -2% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Žilina below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.03, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Skalica vs Žilina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Žilina, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | 3.38 | 3.51 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.60 | -0.05 |
| Žilina | 1.95 | 1.92 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Skalica and Žilina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.62
- Attack rating (Skalica / Žilina)
- 0.65 / 1.53
- Defence rating (Skalica / Žilina)
- 1.13 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Skalica vs Žilina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Skalica goals. Columns: Žilina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Skalica vs Žilina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Skalica vs Žilina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skalica | 24% | 4.18 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Žilina | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Skalica or draw) | 48% | 2.08 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Žilina) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Skalica and Žilina recent form
Skalica
0W 2D 4L
Žilina
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Skalica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Žilina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Skalica at home only, Žilina away only.
Skalica vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Skalica 2 · draws 3 · Žilina 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Žilina | 1-3 | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-25 | Žilina | 3-1 | Skalica | Cup |
| 2025-10-25 | Žilina | 3-2 | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-27 | Skalica | 0-0 | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2024-12-15 | Skalica | 0-0 | Žilina | Super Liga |
| 2024-09-14 | Žilina | 3-2 | Skalica | Super Liga |
| 2024-02-17 | Skalica | 1-1 | Žilina | Super Liga |
| 2023-09-29 | Žilina | 5-3 | Skalica | Super Liga |
| 2023-02-11 | Žilina | 1-0 | Skalica | Super Liga |
| 2022-08-30 | Skalica | 1-0 | Žilina | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice 2026-11-07
- Podbrezová v Ružomberok — match page 2026-11-08
- Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Skalica, previous: Ružomberok vs Skalica prediction
- Žilina, previous: Žilina – Zemplín Michalovce, 2026-10-31