Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Dunajska Streda and FK Košice, the 1X2 probabilities show Dunajska Streda at 67%, while FK Košice sits at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Dunajska Streda has a strong expected goals figure of 2.76 compared to FK Košice's 1.33, indicating a significant attacking advantage.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. While Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 77% and both teams to score at 70%, any unexpected defensive performance from FK Košice could alter these expectations. Recent form also shows Dunajska Streda winning their last 5 matches, while FK Košice has mixed results with 3 draws in their last 5 games.
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice: model vs market
| Source | Dunajska Streda | Draw | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Published | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dunajska Streda, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunajska Streda | 1.54 | 1.50 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.55 | +0.05 |
| FK Košice | 4.85 | 5.23 | +0.38 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunajska Streda and FK Košice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.93
- Attack rating (Dunajska Streda / FK Košice)
- 1.74 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Dunajska Streda / FK Košice)
- 0.65 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunajska Streda goals. Columns: FK Košice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.08 | |
| FK Košice | 17% | 5.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunajska Streda or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Košice) | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win by 2+ | 48% | 2.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunajska Streda and FK Košice recent form
Dunajska Streda
5W 1D 0L
FK Košice
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunajska Streda at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 3.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 11 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Košice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunajska Streda at home only, FK Košice away only.
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dunajska Streda 6 · draws 2 · FK Košice 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | FK Košice | 0-1 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-03-04 | FK Košice | 4-0 | Dunajska Streda | Cup |
| 2025-11-01 | Dunajska Streda | 3-1 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-01 | FK Košice | 0-2 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-04-20 | Dunajska Streda | 3-2 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
| 2025-03-29 | FK Košice | 2-2 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2024-10-26 | Dunajska Streda | 1-3 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
| 2024-07-28 | FK Košice | 2-2 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2023-11-03 | FK Košice | 0-3 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2023-08-05 | Dunajska Streda | 5-2 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Skalica v Žilina — match page 2026-11-07
- Podbrezová v Ružomberok — match page 2026-11-08
- Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Dunajska Streda, previous: Dukla Banská Bystrica v Dunajska Streda analysis
- FK Košice, previous: AS Trencin – FK Košice, 2026-10-31