Podbrezová vs Ružomberok preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture, Podbrezová has a 54% chance to win against Ružomberok, who has a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.96 for Podbrezová and 1.18 for Ružomberok.
While both teams to score stands at 60%, the match could deviate from predictions if either team underperforms offensively. Podbrezová's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Ružomberok has also struggled, managing only 2 wins in the same period. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Podbrezová vs Ružomberok: model vs market
| Source | Podbrezová | Draw | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Published | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.18.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Podbrezová vs Ružomberok odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Podbrezová, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Podbrezová | 1.75 | 1.73 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.85 | -0.15 |
| Ružomberok | 3.88 | 3.95 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Podbrezová and Ružomberok expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Podbrezová / Ružomberok)
- 0.99 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Podbrezová / Ružomberok)
- 1.11 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Podbrezová vs Ružomberok score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Podbrezová goals. Columns: Ružomberok goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Podbrezová vs Ružomberok goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Podbrezová vs Ružomberok
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbrezová | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Ružomberok | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Podbrezová or draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Ružomberok) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Podbrezová win by 2+ | 28% | 3.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Podbrezová and Ružomberok recent form
Podbrezová
2W 1D 3L
Ružomberok
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Podbrezová at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ružomberok away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Podbrezová at home only, Ružomberok away only.
Podbrezová vs Ružomberok head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Podbrezová 2 · draws 0 · Ružomberok 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Ružomberok | 1-4 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-02-14 | Podbrezová | 5-0 | Ružomberok | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-28 | Ružomberok | 1-0 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Skalica v Žilina — match page 2026-11-07
- Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice 2026-11-07
- Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Podbrezová, previous: Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick
- Ružomberok, previous: Ružomberok vs Skalica prediction