Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture, Slovan Bratislava has a 50% chance of winning against AS Trencin, who has a 25% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability according to our model. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals stands at 60%, while both teams to score is at 61%.
Slovan Bratislava's expected goals are 1.84, compared to AS Trencin's 1.26. Recent form shows Slovan Bratislava with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while AS Trencin has 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses. The head-to-head record favors Slovan Bratislava with 6 wins in the last 10 matches. However, a draw or an unexpected performance from AS Trencin could alter the outcome.
Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin: model vs market
| Source | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | AS Trencin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| Published | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Edge | -6% | +2% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovan Bratislava, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.18 | 1.21 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 7.10 | 6.25 | -0.85 |
| AS Trencin | 11.25 | 10.60 | -0.65 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovan Bratislava and AS Trencin expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Slovan Bratislava / AS Trencin)
- 0.94 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Slovan Bratislava / AS Trencin)
- 1.31 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovan Bratislava goals. Columns: AS Trencin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 70% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.85 | |
| AS Trencin | 13% | 7.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovan Bratislava or draw) | 87% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or AS Trencin) | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win by 2+ | 30% | 3.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slovan Bratislava and AS Trencin recent form
Slovan Bratislava
3W 1D 2L
AS Trencin
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovan Bratislava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Trencin away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Bratislava at home only, AS Trencin away only.
Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 6 · draws 2 · AS Trencin 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | AS Trencin | 0-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-02-14 | Slovan Bratislava | 0-2 | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-27 | AS Trencin | 1-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-02-22 | AS Trencin | 1-1 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2025-02-04 | Slovan Bratislava | 3-1 | AS Trencin | Cup |
| 2024-10-05 | Slovan Bratislava | 1-1 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| 2024-02-25 | AS Trencin | 0-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2023-10-08 | Slovan Bratislava | 2-0 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| 2022-10-09 | AS Trencin | 4-0 | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| 2022-07-23 | Slovan Bratislava | 4-0 | AS Trencin | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Spartak Trnava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Skalica v Žilina — match page 2026-11-07
- Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice 2026-11-07
- Podbrezová v Ružomberok — match page 2026-11-08
- Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick
- Slovan Bratislava, next: Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis prediction
- AS Trencin, previous: AS Trencin – FK Košice, 2026-10-31