Updated

Slovakia Super Liga · Matchday 13

Ružomberok vs Skalica

Alin prediction Ružomberok to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RužomberokDrawSkalica
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Ružomberok is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Ružomberok2.07 Draw3.65 Skalica3.53

Price as of

Expected return at 2.07: -8.0% per unit staked

Ružomberok vs Skalica preview

In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between Ružomberok and Skalica, the 1X2 probabilities show Ružomberok at 37%, Skalica at 35%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score has a 56% chance, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%.

Ružomberok's recent form includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss, while Skalica has struggled with 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. The expected goals are closely matched, with Ružomberok at 1.36 and Skalica at 1.33. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty, which could affect the outcome.

Ružomberok vs Skalica: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRužomberokDrawSkalica
Model37%28%35%
Market47%26%27%
Published44%27%29%
Edge-3%+1%+2%
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Ružomberok vs Skalica odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Ružomberok, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.96Now 1.96 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Ružomberok1.961.96+0.00
Draw3.553.55+0.00
Skalica3.423.42+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Ružomberok and Skalica expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.36Ružomberok
1.33Skalica
Total expected goals
2.70
Attack rating (Ružomberok / Skalica)
0.76 / 0.74
Defence rating (Ružomberok / Skalica)
1.29 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ružomberok vs Skalica score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 7.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.2% 1 8.0% 13.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.6% 2 6.3% 8.4% 5.6% 2.5% 1.1% 3 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Ružomberok goals. Columns: Skalica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ružomberok vs Skalica goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ružomberok vs Skalica

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ružomberok44%2.25
Draw27%3.77
Skalica29%3.45
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.98
Under 2.549%2.02
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.78
No44%2.28
Double chance1X (Ružomberok or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)73%1.36
X2 (draw or Skalica)56%1.80
Handicap -1Ružomberok win by 2+17%5.79
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Ružomberok and Skalica recent form

Ružomberok 2W 2D 2L
Skalica 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ružomberok at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skalica away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ružomberok at home only, Skalica away only.

Ružomberok vs Skalica head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Ružomberok 0 · draws 2 · Skalica 3.

RužomberokDrawsSkalica
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-01Skalica2-1RužomberokSlovakia Super Liga
2026-05-16Skalica1-0RužomberokSlovakia Super Liga
2026-04-11Ružomberok0-0SkalicaSlovakia Super Liga
2025-11-01Skalica0-0RužomberokSlovakia Super Liga
2025-08-12Ružomberok1-3SkalicaSlovakia Super Liga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Ružomberok to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Ružomberok