Spartak Trnava vs Komárno preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga match between Spartak Trnava and Komárno, the 1X2 probabilities show Spartak Trnava at 57%, compared to Komárno at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. Spartak Trnava has an expected goals figure of 1.75, while Komárno sits at 0.88, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Spartak Trnava has a mixed record with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Komárno has not won in their last 6, recording 5 draws. With both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both at 49%, there is a possibility that the match could produce more goals than anticipated.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno: model vs market
| Source | Spartak Trnava | Draw | Komárno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Spartak Trnava, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 1.63 | 1.63 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.91 | 3.91 | +0.00 |
| Komárno | 4.75 | 4.75 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Spartak Trnava and Komárno expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Spartak Trnava / Komárno)
- 1.16 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Spartak Trnava / Komárno)
- 0.94 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Spartak Trnava goals. Columns: Komárno goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Spartak Trnava vs Komárno
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Komárno | 19% | 5.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Spartak Trnava or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Komárno) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartak Trnava win by 2+ | 28% | 3.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Spartak Trnava and Komárno recent form
Spartak Trnava
2W 3D 1L
Komárno
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Spartak Trnava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Komárno away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-5-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Spartak Trnava at home only, Komárno away only.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Spartak Trnava 3 · draws 0 · Komárno 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Komárno | 1-2 | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-29 | Spartak Trnava | 2-0 | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-24 | Komárno | 1-4 | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- AS Trencin vs FK Košice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-10-31
- Podbrezová v Slovan Bratislava — match page 2026-10-31
- Ružomberok vs Skalica — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Dukla Banská Bystrica v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Spartak Trnava, previous: Skalica vs Spartak Trnava prediction
- Komárno, previous: Komárno vs AS Trencin: odds and pick