Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga, Podbrezová faces Slovan Bratislava with a 30% chance for Podbrezová to win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 47% chance for Slovan Bratislava to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs with a 7% probability.
Both teams to score stands at 69%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 69%. Podbrezová's expected goals are 1.99, while Slovan Bratislava's are 1.58. Recent form shows Podbrezová with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Slovan Bratislava has 3 wins in the same span. Podbrezová has not won any of the last 5 encounters against Slovan Bratislava.
Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava: model vs market
| Source | Podbrezová | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Published | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Edge | +6% | 0% | -6% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Podbrezová and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Podbrezová / Slovan Bratislava)
- 1.00 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Podbrezová / Slovan Bratislava)
- 1.10 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Podbrezová goals. Columns: Slovan Bratislava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbrezová | 30% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Podbrezová or draw) | 53% | 1.90 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Slovan Bratislava) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win by 2+ | 15% | 6.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Podbrezová and Slovan Bratislava recent form
Podbrezová
2W 1D 3L
Slovan Bratislava
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Podbrezová at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Bratislava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Podbrezová at home only, Slovan Bratislava away only.
Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Podbrezová 0 · draws 0 · Slovan Bratislava 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Slovan Bratislava | 3-0 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-05-09 | Podbrezová | 1-2 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2026-03-22 | Slovan Bratislava | 2-0 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-01 | Podbrezová | 1-3 | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-02 | Slovan Bratislava | 4-1 | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- AS Trencin vs FK Košice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Spartak Trnava vs Komárno 2026-10-31
- Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce 2026-10-31
- Ružomberok vs Skalica — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Dukla Banská Bystrica v Dunajska Streda — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Podbrezová, previous: Zemplín Michalovce – Podbrezová, 2026-10-24
- Slovan Bratislava, previous: AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick
- Slovan Bratislava, next: Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick