FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda preview
In the Slovakia Super Liga fixture between FK Košice and Dunajska Streda, the 1X2 probabilities show Dunajska Streda at 70%, while FK Košice sits at just 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-3, with an 83% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance for both teams to score.
Dunajska Streda's recent form is strong, with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while FK Košice has 2 draws and 2 wins in the same period. The expected goals highlight a significant gap, with FK Košice at 1.45 and Dunajska Streda at 3.09. Factors such as an unexpected defensive performance from FK Košice could alter the anticipated outcome.
FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda: model vs market
| Source | FK Košice | Draw | Dunajska Streda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 16% | 70% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Published | 25% | 22% | 54% |
| Edge | -3% | -2% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.12 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dunajska Streda below our published probability: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +6.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dunajska Streda, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Košice | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.83 | +0.03 |
| Dunajska Streda | 1.93 | 1.91 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FK Košice and Dunajska Streda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.59
- Attack rating (FK Košice / Dunajska Streda)
- 1.25 / 1.88
- Defence rating (FK Košice / Dunajska Streda)
- 1.19 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Košice goals. Columns: Dunajska Streda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 25% | 4.08 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Dunajska Streda | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 6.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Košice or draw) | 46% | 2.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Dunajska Streda) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win by 2+ | 52% | 1.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FK Košice and Dunajska Streda recent form
FK Košice
2W 3D 1L
Dunajska Streda
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Košice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Dunajska Streda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Košice at home only, Dunajska Streda away only.
FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FK Košice 2 · draws 2 · Dunajska Streda 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | FK Košice | 4-0 | Dunajska Streda | Cup |
| 2025-11-01 | Dunajska Streda | 3-1 | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-10-01 | FK Košice | 0-2 | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga |
| 2025-04-20 | Dunajska Streda | 3-2 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
| 2025-03-29 | FK Košice | 2-2 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2024-10-26 | Dunajska Streda | 1-3 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
| 2024-07-28 | FK Košice | 2-2 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2023-11-03 | FK Košice | 0-3 | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga |
| 2023-08-05 | Dunajska Streda | 5-2 | FK Košice | Super Liga |
| 2023-01-21 | Dunajska Streda | 2-1 | FK Košice | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- FK Košice, previous: FK Košice v Žilina analysis
- FK Košice, next: AS Trencin – FK Košice, 2026-10-31
- Dunajska Streda, previous: Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok prediction
- Dunajska Streda, next: Dukla Banská Bystrica v Dunajska Streda analysis