Radomlje vs Koper preview
In the upcoming match between Radomlje and Koper, the key figure is Koper's 51% probability to win according to the model 1X2 probabilities. Radomlje has struggled recently, with three losses in their last five matches, while Koper has shown better form with three wins in the same period. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 39%, and both teams to score is at 45%. Radomlje's expected goals are 0.89, indicating a struggle to find the net, while Koper's expected goals are 1.34, suggesting they could secure a narrow victory. However, if Radomlje improves their performance or Koper underperforms, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Radomlje vs Koper: model vs market
| Source | Radomlje | Draw | Koper |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 53% |
| Published | 23% | 26% | 51% |
| Edge | +1% | +6% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Radomlje vs Koper odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Koper, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radomlje | 4.18 | 3.96 | -0.21 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Koper | 1.67 | 1.73 | +0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Radomlje and Koper expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Radomlje / Koper)
- 0.82 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Radomlje / Koper)
- 1.28 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radomlje vs Koper score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radomlje goals. Columns: Koper goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radomlje vs Koper goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radomlje vs Koper
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomlje | 23% | 4.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Koper | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radomlje or draw) | 49% | 2.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Koper) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Koper win by 2+ | 22% | 4.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Radomlje and Koper recent form
Radomlje
1W 1D 4L
Koper
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radomlje at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Koper away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radomlje at home only, Koper away only.
Radomlje vs Koper head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Radomlje 1 · draws 3 · Koper 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Koper | 2-2 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2026-04-18 | Radomlje | 0-3 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2026-02-15 | Koper | 2-2 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| 2025-10-25 | Radomlje | 1-1 | Koper | 1. SNL |
| 2025-08-09 | Koper | 1-2 | Radomlje | 1. SNL |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Celje vs Aluminij — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Olimpija Ljubljana v Mura — match page 2026-10-10
- Nafta vs Bravo 2026-10-11
- Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor — team news & stats 2026-10-11