Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy preview
Rapperswil hosts Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in the Challenge League, with the market showing a 54% probability for an away win. The expected goals suggest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy could score around 2.00, while Rapperswil is expected to net 1.09. This indicates a strong chance for a scoreline of 1-2, which aligns with the 60% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
However, Rapperswil has a mixed recent form with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has been more consistent, recording four wins and two draws in the same period. This disparity in form could impact the match outcome, making it crucial to consider both teams' current performances.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: model vs market
| Source | Rapperswil | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| Published | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stade Lausanne-Ouchy below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.92 | -0.08 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1.73 | 1.75 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (Rapperswil / Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)
- 1.27 / 1.42
- Defence rating (Rapperswil / Stade Lausanne-Ouchy)
- 1.02 / 0.52
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapperswil goals. Columns: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 23% | 4.33 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapperswil or draw) | 46% | 2.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Stade Lausanne-Ouchy) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win by 2+ | 35% | 2.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy recent form
Rapperswil
2W 1D 3L
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapperswil at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapperswil at home only, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy away only.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Rapperswil 3 · draws 0 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-0 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2026-04-07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-2 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2026-01-24 | Rapperswil | 1-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2025-12-06 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-2 | Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-22 | Rapperswil | 1-2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2021-08-14 | Rapperswil | 2-3 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Schweizer Cup |
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