SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 preview
SC Kriens hosts FC WIL 1900 in the Challenge League, with a 46% probability of a home win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects SC Kriens' expected goals of 2.27 compared to FC WIL 1900's 1.58. The high percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 72% suggest an attacking game.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. FC WIL 1900 has a stronger recent head-to-head record with 6 wins in the last 10 matches against SC Kriens. If they can capitalize on their past success, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900: model vs market
| Source | SC Kriens | Draw | FC WIL 1900 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Published | 46% | 23% | 30% |
| Edge | +8% | -3% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices SC Kriens below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SC Kriens, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Kriens | 2.06 | 2.05 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.77 | -0.03 |
| FC WIL 1900 | 2.88 | 2.88 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SC Kriens and FC WIL 1900 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.85
- Attack rating (SC Kriens / FC WIL 1900)
- 1.10 / 1.23
- Defence rating (SC Kriens / FC WIL 1900)
- 0.93 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SC Kriens goals. Columns: FC WIL 1900 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Kriens | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 | |
| FC WIL 1900 | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SC Kriens or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or FC WIL 1900) | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Kriens win by 2+ | 33% | 3.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SC Kriens and FC WIL 1900 recent form
SC Kriens
3W 2D 1L
FC WIL 1900
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SC Kriens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
FC WIL 1900 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: SC Kriens at home only, FC WIL 1900 away only.
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SC Kriens 3 · draws 1 · FC WIL 1900 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | FC WIL 1900 | 0-2 | SC Kriens | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-16 | SC Kriens | 2-3 | FC WIL 1900 | Schweizer Cup |
| 2023-01-20 | FC WIL 1900 | 2-0 | SC Kriens | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-04-09 | SC Kriens | 2-1 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2022-03-01 | FC WIL 1900 | 3-1 | SC Kriens | Challenge League |
| 2021-11-06 | FC WIL 1900 | 4-0 | SC Kriens | Challenge League |
| 2021-09-03 | SC Kriens | 0-2 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2021-04-24 | SC Kriens | 2-2 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| 2021-03-20 | FC WIL 1900 | 0-2 | SC Kriens | Challenge League |
| 2021-01-29 | SC Kriens | 1-2 | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Winterthur — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2026-10-09
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau — team news & stats 2026-10-09
- Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport 2026-10-09