BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen preview
BSC Young Boys face FC ST. Gallen with a 55% chance of winning, while the most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8%. The model suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams to score at 76%.
However, FC ST. Gallen has a recent record of 3 wins in their last 5 matches, which could challenge Young Boys' expectations. Additionally, in their last 4 head-to-head encounters, FC ST. Gallen has won 3 times, indicating they can compete effectively against Young Boys.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen: model vs market
| Source | BSC Young Boys | Draw | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| Published | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Edge | +15% | -5% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 1.49.
- The market prices BSC Young Boys below the model: +15.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on BSC Young Boys, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 1.78 | 1.79 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.00 |
| FC ST. Gallen | 3.80 | 3.60 | -0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.49
- Attack rating (BSC Young Boys / FC ST. Gallen)
- 1.81 / 1.04
- Defence rating (BSC Young Boys / FC ST. Gallen)
- 0.91 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BSC Young Boys goals. Columns: FC ST. Gallen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSC Young Boys | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.86 | |
| FC ST. Gallen | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BSC Young Boys or draw) | 77% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or FC ST. Gallen) | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win by 2+ | 49% | 2.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen recent form
BSC Young Boys
4W 2D 0L
FC ST. Gallen
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BSC Young Boys at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 3.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
FC ST. Gallen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: BSC Young Boys at home only, FC ST. Gallen away only.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: BSC Young Boys 1 · draws 0 · FC ST. Gallen 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | BSC Young Boys | 1-2 | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-02-11 | FC ST. Gallen | 2-1 | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-11-09 | FC ST. Gallen | 1-4 | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-10-19 | BSC Young Boys | 1-2 | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Zurich v FC Luzern — match page 2026-10-24
- Servette FC vs FC Vaduz 2026-10-24
- FC Thun vs FC Lugano — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Basel 1893 v Grasshoppers — match page 2026-10-25
- FC Sion vs Lausanne 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- BSC Young Boys, previous: Taverne vs BSC Young Boys prediction
- FC ST. Gallen, previous: Rapperswil – FC ST. Gallen, 2026-10-16