FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers preview
In the upcoming match between FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Basel at 54%, Grasshoppers at 26%, and a draw at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 84% chance of Over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance for both teams to score.
FC Basel's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 losses, while Grasshoppers have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Despite FC Basel's better head-to-head record with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches against Grasshoppers, their recent struggles could lead to an unexpected outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers: model vs market
| Source | FC Basel 1893 | Draw | Grasshoppers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 20% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| Published | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Edge | -19% | 0% | +19% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Basel 1893, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 | 1.60 | 1.60 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.00 |
| Grasshoppers | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.59
- Attack rating (FC Basel 1893 / Grasshoppers)
- 1.10 / 1.29
- Defence rating (FC Basel 1893 / Grasshoppers)
- 1.14 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Basel 1893 goals. Columns: Grasshoppers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Basel 1893 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.88 | |
| Grasshoppers | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 6.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.23 |
| No | 19% | 5.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Basel 1893 or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Grasshoppers) | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Basel 1893 win by 2+ | 23% | 4.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers recent form
FC Basel 1893
2W 0D 4L
Grasshoppers
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Basel 1893 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Grasshoppers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Basel 1893 at home only, Grasshoppers away only.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Basel 1893 2 · draws 1 · Grasshoppers 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | FC Basel 1893 | 1-0 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-11-23 | Grasshoppers | 1-1 | FC Basel 1893 | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-08-02 | FC Basel 1893 | 2-1 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Zurich v FC Luzern — match page 2026-10-24
- Servette FC vs FC Vaduz 2026-10-24
- BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Thun vs FC Lugano — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Sion vs Lausanne 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC Basel 1893, previous: Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893: odds and pick
- Grasshoppers, previous: Grenchen vs Grasshoppers prediction