Grenchen vs Grasshoppers Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Grenchen vs Grasshoppers preview

In the Schweizer Cup fixture between Grenchen and Grasshoppers, the 1X2 probabilities show Grasshoppers at 70%, compared to Grenchen's 11%. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 0-2, which aligns with Grasshoppers’ expected goals of 2.40, while Grenchen is at 0.89.

The model also indicates a 64% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability for both teams to score. However, Grenchen's recent form shows a win, which could lead to a stronger performance than expected. Grasshoppers, on the other hand, have had mixed results with two losses in their last three matches, which might affect their consistency.

Grenchen vs Grasshoppers: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Grenchen	Draw	Grasshoppers
Model	11%	19%	70%
Market	—	—	—
Published	11%	19%	70%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.89.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Grenchen and Grasshoppers expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.89Grenchen

2.40Grasshoppers

Total expected goals: 3.29
Attack rating (Grenchen / Grasshoppers): 0.92 / 0.90
Defence rating (Grenchen / Grasshoppers): 0.83 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Grenchen vs Grasshoppers score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 8.1% 10.7% 8.6% 9.1% 1 2.5% 8.8% 9.5% 7.6% 8.1% 2 1.5% 3.5% 4.3% 3.4% 3.6% 3 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.1% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Rows: Grenchen goals. Columns: Grasshoppers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Grenchen vs Grasshoppers goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 64%

Over 3.5 42%

Both teams to score: 54%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Grenchen vs Grasshoppers

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Grenchen	11%	8.83
	Draw	19%	5.35
	Grasshoppers	70%	1.43
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64%	1.57
	Under 2.5	36%	2.77
Both teams to score	Yes	54%	1.84
	No	46%	2.19
Double chance	1X (Grenchen or draw)	30%	3.33
	12 (either side)	81%	1.23
	X2 (draw or Grasshoppers)	89%	1.13
Handicap -1	Grasshoppers win by 2+	48%	2.07
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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