Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport preview

In the Schweizer Cup match between Old Boys and Yverdon Sport, the 1X2 probabilities show Old Boys at 7%, a draw at 16%, and Yverdon Sport at 76%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 13%. Yverdon Sport's expected goals stand at 2.48, while Old Boys have an expected goals figure of 0.68.

The model indicates a 61% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score. However, Old Boys' recent form includes a win, which could influence their performance. Yverdon Sport's form is mixed with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they may not be at their best.

Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Old Boys	Draw	Yverdon Sport
Model	7%	16%	77%
Market	—	—	—
Published	7%	16%	77%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 0.64.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Old Boys and Yverdon Sport expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.64Old Boys

2.47Yverdon Sport

Total expected goals: 3.11
Attack rating (Old Boys / Yverdon Sport): 1.24 / 0.93
Defence rating (Old Boys / Yverdon Sport): 0.83 / 0.59

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.2% 10.3% 13.6% 11.2% 12.5% 1 2.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.2% 8.0% 2 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 4+ 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Old Boys goals. Columns: Yverdon Sport goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 82%

Over 2.5 60%

Over 3.5 38%

Both teams to score: 44%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Old Boys vs Yverdon Sport

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Old Boys	7%	14.53
	Draw	16%	6.17
	Yverdon Sport	77%	1.30
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60%	1.66
	Under 2.5	40%	2.51
Both teams to score	Yes	44%	2.28
	No	56%	1.78
Double chance	1X (Old Boys or draw)	23%	4.33
	12 (either side)	84%	1.19
	X2 (draw or Yverdon Sport)	93%	1.07
Handicap -1	Yverdon Sport win by 2+	55%	1.81
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer