Cham vs FC Sion Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Cham vs FC Sion preview

In the Schweizer Cup match between Cham and FC Sion, the 1X2 probabilities show Cham at 6%, a draw at 12%, and FC Sion at 82%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-3, which aligns with the expected goals of Cham at 0.80 and FC Sion at 3.09.

There is a 75% chance of Over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-scoring game, while both teams to score has a 53% probability. Cham's recent form includes two wins and a loss, while FC Sion has a strong record with four wins and a draw in their last six matches. However, if Cham can improve their attacking output, they might challenge these predictions.

Cham vs FC Sion: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Cham	Draw	FC Sion
Model	6%	12%	82%
Market	—	—	—
Published	6%	12%	82%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.09 vs 0.80.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Cham and FC Sion expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.80Cham

3.09FC Sion

Total expected goals: 3.89
Attack rating (Cham / FC Sion): 1.03 / 1.27
Defence rating (Cham / FC Sion): 0.76 / 0.89

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cham vs FC Sion score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.6% 5.8% 9.8% 10.0% 16.7% 1 1.1% 5.6% 7.8% 8.1% 13.4% 2 0.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 5.4% 3 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 4+ 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Rows: Cham goals. Columns: FC Sion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cham vs FC Sion goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 91%

Over 2.5 75%

Over 3.5 54%

Both teams to score: 53%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cham vs FC Sion

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Cham	6%	16.72
	Draw	12%	8.15
	FC Sion	82%	1.22
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	75%	1.34
	Under 2.5	25%	3.92
Both teams to score	Yes	53%	1.88
	No	47%	2.13
Double chance	1X (Cham or draw)	18%	5.48
	12 (either side)	88%	1.14
	X2 (draw or FC Sion)	94%	1.06
Handicap -1	FC Sion win by 2+	64%	1.56
	Push (exactly one goal)	18%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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