Köniz vs Brühl Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Köniz vs Brühl preview

In the Schweizer Cup match between Köniz and Brühl, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for Brühl at 89%, compared to Köniz's 3%. The most likely scoreline is 0-3, with a probability of 9%. The expected goals further highlight this disparity, with Köniz at 0.79 and Brühl at 3.87.

The prediction suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 84%, while both teams to score stands at 54%. However, if Köniz manages to outperform their expected goals, it could challenge the forecasted outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Köniz vs Brühl: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Köniz	Draw	Brühl
Model	3%	8%	89%
Market	—	—	—
Published	3%	8%	89%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.87 vs 0.79.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Köniz and Brühl expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.79Köniz

3.87Brühl

Total expected goals: 4.66
Attack rating (Köniz / Brühl): 1.08 / 1.33
Defence rating (Köniz / Brühl): 0.92 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Köniz vs Brühl score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.2% 3.4% 7.1% 9.2% 24.6% 1 0.5% 3.2% 5.6% 7.2% 19.3% 2 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 7.6% 3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 2.0% 4+ 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5%

Rows: Köniz goals. Columns: Brühl goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Köniz vs Brühl goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%

Over 1.5 95%

Over 2.5 84%

Over 3.5 68%

Both teams to score: 54%
No goals (0–0): 1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Köniz vs Brühl

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Köniz	3%	30.62
	Draw	8%	13.27
	Brühl	89%	1.12
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	84%	1.19
	Under 2.5	16%	6.36
Both teams to score	Yes	54%	1.87
	No	46%	2.15
Double chance	1X (Köniz or draw)	11%	9.26
	12 (either side)	92%	1.08
	X2 (draw or Brühl)	97%	1.03
Handicap -1	Brühl win by 2+	77%	1.31
	Push (exactly one goal)	13%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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