Rotkreuz vs Servette FC Prediction & Betting Tips 16/10/2026

Rotkreuz vs Servette FC preview

In the Schweizer Cup fixture between Rotkreuz and Servette FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Servette FC at 80%, while Rotkreuz sits at just 6%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 11%. Servette FC has a strong expected goals figure of 2.89, compared to Rotkreuz's 0.76, indicating a significant attacking advantage.

While the model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 51%, factors such as an unexpected defensive performance from Rotkreuz or an off day for Servette FC could change the outcome. The recent form shows Servette FC with mixed results, which could impact their performance in this match.

Rotkreuz vs Servette FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Rotkreuz	Draw	Servette FC
Model	6%	13%	80%
Market	—	—	—
Published	6%	13%	80%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.76.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Rotkreuz and Servette FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.76Rotkreuz

2.89Servette FC

Total expected goals: 3.65
Attack rating (Rotkreuz / Servette FC): 1.16 / 0.99
Defence rating (Rotkreuz / Servette FC): 0.92 / 0.75

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rotkreuz vs Servette FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.2% 6.9% 10.8% 10.4% 15.3% 1 1.4% 6.3% 8.2% 8.0% 11.7% 2 0.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 4.4% 3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 4+ 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Rows: Rotkreuz goals. Columns: Servette FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rotkreuz vs Servette FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 89%

Over 2.5 71%

Over 3.5 50%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rotkreuz vs Servette FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Rotkreuz	6%	15.63
	Draw	13%	7.43
	Servette FC	80%	1.25
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71%	1.42
	Under 2.5	29%	3.41
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.96
	No	49%	2.04
Double chance	1X (Rotkreuz or draw)	20%	5.04
	12 (either side)	87%	1.16
	X2 (draw or Servette FC)	94%	1.07
Handicap -1	Servette FC win by 2+	61%	1.63
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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