Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge preview
In the Schweizer Cup fixture, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has a 30% chance to win, while Étoile Carouge sits at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19%. Both teams to score has a probability of 35%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 26%.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is in better recent form with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, compared to Étoile Carouge's 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. If either team finds their attacking rhythm or if defensive errors occur, the predicted outcomes could change significantly.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: model vs market
| Source | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Étoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 37% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 37% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.64
- Attack rating (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / Étoile Carouge)
- 1.16 / 0.59
- Defence rating (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / Étoile Carouge)
- 0.41 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy goals. Columns: Étoile Carouge goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 21%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Étoile Carouge | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.07 |
| No | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw) | 72% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| X2 (draw or Étoile Carouge) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win by 2+ | 12% | 8.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge recent form
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4W 2D 0L
Étoile Carouge
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Étoile Carouge away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at home only, Étoile Carouge away only.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 6 · draws 2 · Étoile Carouge 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 3-0 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2026-04-10 | Étoile Carouge | 1-1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2026-02-28 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-1 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2025-12-19 | Étoile Carouge | 1-2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2025-08-30 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-0 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2025-05-02 | Étoile Carouge | 1-2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2025-01-31 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-0 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2024-10-25 | Étoile Carouge | 1-1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| 2024-09-27 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 5-1 | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| 2024-06-29 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-3 | Étoile Carouge | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Rotkreuz v Servette FC — match page 2026-10-16
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Bulle v FC WIL 1900 — match page 2026-10-17
- Köniz v Brühl — match page 2026-10-17
- Cham vs FC Sion — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Grenchen v Grasshoppers — match page 2026-10-17
- FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, previous: Rapperswil v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
- Étoile Carouge, previous: Étoile Carouge – Yverdon Sport, 2026-10-09