Updated

Schweizer Cup · Round of 32

Bulle vs FC WIL 1900

· Stade de Bouleyres, Bulle

Alin prediction FC WIL 1900 to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BulleDrawFC WIL 1900

Bulle vs FC WIL 1900 preview

In the Schweizer Cup fixture between Bulle and FC WIL 1900, the 1X2 probabilities show Bulle at 10%, a draw at 15%, and FC WIL 1900 at 75%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance, while the model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 61%.

Bulle's expected goals stand at 1.01, while FC WIL 1900's expected goals are significantly higher at 2.87. This indicates a strong offensive performance from FC WIL 1900, but if Bulle can exceed their expected goals, it could alter the outcome. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

Bulle vs FC WIL 1900: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBulleDrawFC WIL 1900
Model10%16%74%
Market———
Published10%16%74%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 0.96.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Bulle and FC WIL 1900 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.96Bulle
2.74FC WIL 1900
Total expected goals
3.70
Attack rating (Bulle / FC WIL 1900)
1.16 / 0.94
Defence rating (Bulle / FC WIL 1900)
0.92 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bulle vs FC WIL 1900 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 6.1% 9.3% 8.5% 11.3% 1 1.7% 7.2% 8.9% 8.1% 10.8% 2 1.1% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 3 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5%

Rows: Bulle goals. Columns: FC WIL 1900 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bulle vs FC WIL 1900 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 71%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bulle vs FC WIL 1900

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bulle10%10.05
Draw16%6.23
FC WIL 190074%1.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571%1.40
Under 2.529%3.50
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.71
No42%2.40
Double chance1X (Bulle or draw)26%3.85
12 (either side)84%1.19
X2 (draw or FC WIL 1900)90%1.11
Handicap -1FC WIL 1900 win by 2+54%1.85
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Bulle and FC WIL 1900 recent form

Bulle 1W 0D 0L
FC WIL 1900 1W 4D 1L

Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC WIL 1900 away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
6.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Bulle at home only, FC WIL 1900 away only.

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC WIL 1900 to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on FC WIL 1900