Servette FC vs FC Vaduz preview
In the match between Servette FC and FC Vaduz, the 1X2 probabilities show Servette FC at 55%, while FC Vaduz sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Servette's expected goals of 2.32 compared to Vaduz's 1.34.
Servette's recent form includes three wins and two losses, while Vaduz has a mixed record with three wins and three losses. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. However, if Vaduz can improve their scoring, they could challenge Servette's advantage.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz: model vs market
| Source | Servette FC | Draw | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Published | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Edge | +5% | -2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Servette FC below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.79, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Servette FC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Servette FC | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| FC Vaduz | 3.93 | 3.90 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Servette FC and FC Vaduz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (Servette FC / FC Vaduz)
- 1.27 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Servette FC / FC Vaduz)
- 0.71 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Servette FC goals. Columns: FC Vaduz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Servette FC vs FC Vaduz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Servette FC vs FC Vaduz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| FC Vaduz | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Servette FC or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Vaduz) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win by 2+ | 38% | 2.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Servette FC and FC Vaduz recent form
Servette FC
4W 0D 2L
FC Vaduz
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Servette FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Vaduz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Servette FC at home only, FC Vaduz away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Zurich v FC Luzern — match page 2026-10-24
- BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Thun vs FC Lugano — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- FC Basel 1893 v Grasshoppers — match page 2026-10-25
- FC Sion vs Lausanne 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Servette FC, previous: Rotkreuz v Servette FC analysis
- FC Vaduz, previous: FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893: odds and pick