Taverne vs BSC Young Boys Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Taverne vs BSC Young Boys preview

In the Schweizer Cup fixture between Taverne and BSC Young Boys, the 1X2 probabilities show BSC Young Boys at 91%, while Taverne sits at just 3%. The most likely scoreline is 0-4, with an 8% chance, indicating a strong expectation for BSC Young Boys to dominate.

The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 89%, while both teams to score has a 56% probability. Taverne's expected goals are 0.84, significantly lower than BSC Young Boys' 4.30. However, if Taverne manages to score, it could impact the Over 2.5 goals prediction.

Taverne vs BSC Young Boys: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Taverne	Draw	BSC Young Boys
Model	3%	6%	91%
Market	—	—	—
Published	3%	6%	91%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.30 vs 0.84.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Taverne and BSC Young Boys expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.84Taverne

4.30BSC Young Boys

Total expected goals: 5.14
Attack rating (Taverne / BSC Young Boys): 1.00 / 1.47
Defence rating (Taverne / BSC Young Boys): 0.92 / 0.96

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Taverne vs BSC Young Boys score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 0.8% 2.3% 5.5% 7.8% 26.9% 1 0.3% 2.3% 4.6% 6.5% 22.5% 2 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 9.4% 3 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 2.6% 4+ 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7%

Rows: Taverne goals. Columns: BSC Young Boys goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Taverne vs BSC Young Boys goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%

Over 1.5 97%

Over 2.5 89%

Over 3.5 75%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Taverne vs BSC Young Boys

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Taverne	3%	37.79
	Draw	6%	16.66
	BSC Young Boys	91%	1.09
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	89%	1.13
	Under 2.5	11%	8.77
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.78
	No	44%	2.28
Double chance	1X (Taverne or draw)	9%	11.56
	12 (either side)	94%	1.06
	X2 (draw or BSC Young Boys)	97%	1.03
Handicap -1	BSC Young Boys win by 2+	81%	1.24
	Push (exactly one goal)	11%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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