Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC preview

In the Schweizer Cup fixture between Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Neuchatel Xamax FC at 61%, compared to Langenthal's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.01 for Langenthal and 2.09 for Neuchatel Xamax FC.

There is a 60% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score. However, Neuchatel Xamax FC's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Langenthal's recent win may also boost their confidence heading into this match.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Langenthal	Draw	Neuchatel Xamax FC
Model	13%	20%	68%
Market	—	—	—
Published	13%	20%	68%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.92.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.92Langenthal

2.31Neuchatel Xamax FC

Total expected goals: 3.23
Attack rating (Langenthal / Neuchatel Xamax FC): 1.24 / 0.79
Defence rating (Langenthal / Neuchatel Xamax FC): 0.92 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.8% 8.3% 10.5% 8.1% 8.0% 1 2.8% 9.3% 9.7% 7.5% 7.4% 2 1.7% 3.9% 4.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%

Rows: Langenthal goals. Columns: Neuchatel Xamax FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 84%

Over 2.5 63%

Over 3.5 40%

Both teams to score: 55%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Langenthal	13%	7.89
	Draw	20%	5.06
	Neuchatel Xamax FC	68%	1.48
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.60
	Under 2.5	37%	2.67
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	1.82
	No	45%	2.23
Double chance	1X (Langenthal or draw)	32%	3.08
	12 (either side)	80%	1.25
	X2 (draw or Neuchatel Xamax FC)	87%	1.15
Handicap -1	Neuchatel Xamax FC win by 2+	45%	2.20
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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