Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv preview
In the match between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv, the 1X2 probabilities show Ahrobiznes at 48%, while Metal Kharkiv sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with expected goals of 1.60 for Ahrobiznes and 1.08 for Metal Kharkiv.
However, both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance that both sides could find the net. Recent form also plays a role, with Ahrobiznes winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while Metal Kharkiv has had mixed results with 2 wins in their last 5. This could affect the outcome, making it essential to consider how each team performs on the day.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv: model vs market
| Source | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Ahrobiznes Volochysk / Metal Kharkiv)
- 1.30 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Ahrobiznes Volochysk / Metal Kharkiv)
- 1.03 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals. Columns: Metal Kharkiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Metal Kharkiv | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ahrobiznes Volochysk or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Metal Kharkiv) | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk win by 2+ | 26% | 3.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Metal Kharkiv recent form
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3W 1D 2L
Metal Kharkiv
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ahrobiznes Volochysk at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metal Kharkiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ahrobiznes Volochysk at home only, Metal Kharkiv away only.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2 · draws 0 · Metal Kharkiv 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Metal Kharkiv | 0-1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga |
| 2025-08-16 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv 2026-10-17
- Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA 2026-10-17
- Yarud Mariupol' v Inhulets — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk, previous: Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk prediction
- Metal Kharkiv, previous: Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: odds and pick