Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka preview
Metal Kharkiv faces Viktoriya Mykolaivka with a model 1X2 probability of 34% for a home win, 36% for a draw, and 30% for an away win. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19%. The expected goals show Metal Kharkiv at 0.91 and Viktoriya Mykolaivka at 0.83, indicating a low-scoring match.
While both teams to score sits at 35% and Over 2.5 goals is at 25%, the recent form suggests a tight contest. Metal Kharkiv's last six matches include three draws and two wins, while Viktoriya Mykolaivka has a mix of two wins, two draws, and two losses. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: model vs market
| Source | Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 36% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 36% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.74
- Attack rating (Metal Kharkiv / Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
- 0.94 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Metal Kharkiv / Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
- 0.86 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Metal Kharkiv goals. Columns: Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metal Kharkiv | 34% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.86 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Metal Kharkiv or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| X2 (draw or Viktoriya Mykolaivka) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metal Kharkiv win by 2+ | 13% | 7.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Metal Kharkiv and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form
Metal Kharkiv
2W 2D 2L
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Metal Kharkiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Metal Kharkiv at home only, Viktoriya Mykolaivka away only.
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Metal Kharkiv 2 · draws 0 · Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 0-1 | Metal Kharkiv | Cup |
| 2026-03-28 | Metal Kharkiv | 2-1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| 2025-09-06 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1-0 | Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
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