Persha Liga · Matchday 11

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Alin prediction Ahrobiznes Volochysk to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
InhuletsDrawAhrobiznes Volochysk

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk preview

Inhulets hosts Ahrobiznes Volochysk with the market showing a slight edge for the visitors at 38% compared to Inhulets' 33%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with both teams' expected goals of 1.27 for Inhulets and 1.37 for Ahrobiznes Volochysk. With 55% probability for both teams to score, there is potential for a more open game.

However, recent form could influence the outcome. Inhulets has a mixed record with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk has three wins and two losses in the same period. The confidence grade is C, indicating that the probabilities are based solely on the model and may not fully capture the nuances of the match.

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceInhuletsDrawAhrobiznes Volochysk
Model33%29%38%
Market———
Published33%29%38%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Inhulets and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.27Inhulets
1.37Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Total expected goals
2.63
Attack rating (Inhulets / Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
0.95 / 1.30
Defence rating (Inhulets / Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
0.99 / 1.03

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.1% 1.4% 1 7.8% 13.7% 8.5% 3.9% 1.8% 2 5.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.5% 1.1% 3 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.5% 4+ 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Rows: Inhulets goals. Columns: Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 27%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Inhulets33%3.00
Draw29%3.49
Ahrobiznes Volochysk38%2.63
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549%2.04
Under 2.551%1.96
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.21
Double chance1X (Inhulets or draw)62%1.61
12 (either side)71%1.40
X2 (draw or Ahrobiznes Volochysk)67%1.50
Handicap -1Ahrobiznes Volochysk win by 2+18%5.51
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Inhulets and Ahrobiznes Volochysk recent form

Inhulets 3W 1D 2L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Inhulets at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Inhulets at home only, Ahrobiznes Volochysk away only.

Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Inhulets 1 · draws 0 · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.

InhuletsDrawsAhrobiznes Volochysk
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-26Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0InhuletsPersha Liga
2025-10-08Inhulets3-2Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Ahrobiznes Volochysk to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Ahrobiznes Volochysk