Polissya II vs Kulykiv: model vs market
| Source | Polissya II | Draw | Kulykiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Polissya II and Kulykiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.80
- Attack rating (Polissya II / Kulykiv)
- 1.16 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Polissya II / Kulykiv)
- 1.53 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Polissya II vs Kulykiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Polissya II goals. Columns: Kulykiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Polissya II vs Kulykiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Polissya II vs Kulykiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polissya II | 22% | 4.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Kulykiv | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Polissya II or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Kulykiv) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kulykiv win by 2+ | 37% | 2.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Polissya II and Kulykiv recent form
Polissya II
1W 2D 3L
Kulykiv
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polissya II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Kulykiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Polissya II at home only, Kulykiv away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metal Kharkiv v Viktoriya Mykolaivka — match page 2026-10-09
- Inhulets v Ahrobiznes Volochysk — match page 2026-10-10
- Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava 2026-10-10
- Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia 2026-10-11
- UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol' — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv 2026-10-11
- Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II — team news & stats 2026-10-11