Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II: model vs market
| Source | Nyva Ternopil | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.95.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.32
- Attack rating (Nyva Ternopil / Kolos Kovalivka II)
- 0.81 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Nyva Ternopil / Kolos Kovalivka II)
- 0.87 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nyva Ternopil goals. Columns: Kolos Kovalivka II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyva Ternopil | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nyva Ternopil or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Kolos Kovalivka II) | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyva Ternopil win by 2+ | 22% | 4.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nyva Ternopil and Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
Nyva Ternopil
1W 3D 2L
Kolos Kovalivka II
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nyva Ternopil at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolos Kovalivka II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nyva Ternopil at home only, Kolos Kovalivka II away only.
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