Updated

Persha Liga · Matchday 13

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

· MCS Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk

Alin prediction Viktoriya Mykolaivka to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PrykarpattiaDrawViktoriya Mykolaivka

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka preview

In the upcoming match between Prykarpattia and Viktoriya Mykolaivka, the 1X2 probabilities show Viktoriya Mykolaivka at 38%, slightly ahead of Prykarpattia at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance. Prykarpattia's expected goals stand at 0.88, while Viktoriya Mykolaivka has a higher expected goals of 1.08, indicating a potential edge in attacking performance.

However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Prykarpattia has recorded 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Viktoriya Mykolaivka has 2 wins in their last 6. Additionally, the probability for both teams to score is 40%, suggesting that while Viktoriya Mykolaivka may have the upper hand, the match could still be competitive.

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePrykarpattiaDrawViktoriya Mykolaivka
Model28%34%38%
Market———
Published28%34%38%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Prykarpattia and Viktoriya Mykolaivka expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.88Prykarpattia
1.08Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Total expected goals
1.96
Attack rating (Prykarpattia / Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
0.80 / 1.00
Defence rating (Prykarpattia / Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
1.00 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.5% 13.9% 8.2% 3.0% 1.0% 1 11.1% 14.7% 7.2% 2.6% 0.9% 2 5.5% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Prykarpattia goals. Columns: Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 31%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
40%
No goals (0–0)
15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Prykarpattia28%3.59
Draw34%2.96
Viktoriya Mykolaivka38%2.60
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531%3.21
Under 2.569%1.45
Both teams to scoreYes40%2.51
No60%1.66
Double chance1X (Prykarpattia or draw)62%1.62
12 (either side)66%1.51
X2 (draw or Viktoriya Mykolaivka)72%1.39
Handicap -1Viktoriya Mykolaivka win by 2+16%6.23
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Prykarpattia and Viktoriya Mykolaivka recent form

Prykarpattia 2W 1D 3L
Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Prykarpattia at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
4 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viktoriya Mykolaivka away

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
4 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Prykarpattia at home only, Viktoriya Mykolaivka away only.

Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Prykarpattia 1 · draws 1 · Viktoriya Mykolaivka 0.

PrykarpattiaDrawsViktoriya Mykolaivka
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-16Prykarpattia1-1Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga
2025-08-01Viktoriya Mykolaivka0-2PrykarpattiaPersha Liga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Viktoriya Mykolaivka to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Viktoriya Mykolaivka