AF Elbasani vs Partizani preview
In the upcoming match between AF Elbasani and Partizani, the 1X2 probabilities show AF Elbasani at 65%, while Partizani sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.25 for AF Elbasani and just 0.97 for Partizani.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. AF Elbasani has drawn or lost in their last four matches, while Partizani has lost their last five. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 62%, and both teams to score is at 56%. If Partizani manages to improve their performance, it could challenge these predictions.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani: model vs market
| Source | AF Elbasani | Draw | Partizani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.97.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
AF Elbasani and Partizani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (AF Elbasani / Partizani)
- 0.96 / 0.90
- Defence rating (AF Elbasani / Partizani)
- 1.07 / 1.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AF Elbasani goals. Columns: Partizani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AF Elbasani vs Partizani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.87 | |
| Partizani | 14% | 7.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AF Elbasani or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Partizani) | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win by 2+ | 43% | 2.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AF Elbasani and Partizani recent form
AF Elbasani
1W 3D 2L
Partizani
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AF Elbasani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Partizani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AF Elbasani at home only, Partizani away only.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: AF Elbasani 4 · draws 4 · Partizani 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | AF Elbasani | 3-0 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-03-04 | Partizani | 1-3 | AF Elbasani | Cup |
| 2026-02-11 | AF Elbasani | 0-1 | Partizani | Cup |
| 2026-01-31 | Partizani | 2-2 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-11-28 | AF Elbasani | 0-0 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-09-20 | Partizani | 0-1 | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-04-27 | Partizani | 2-0 | AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| 2025-03-01 | AF Elbasani | 2-0 | Partizani | Superliga |
| 2024-12-14 | Partizani | 2-2 | AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| 2024-10-20 | AF Elbasani | 1-1 | Partizani | Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vora vs Vllaznia Shkodër — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana 2026-10-28
- Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës — match page 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- AF Elbasani, previous: Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani: odds and pick
- AF Elbasani, next: AF Elbasani vs Laci: odds and pick
- Partizani, previous: Partizani – Skenderbeu Korce, 2026-10-24