Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana preview
Tirana faces Dinamo Tirana with a 54% chance of winning compared to Dinamo's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.96 for Tirana and 1.20 for Dinamo. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 61%, indicating a strong potential for an entertaining match.
However, Tirana's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Dinamo has won 4 of their last 5. This form could influence the outcome, as Dinamo's recent success against Tirana includes 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 encounters. The confidence grade of C suggests some uncertainty in the prediction.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana: model vs market
| Source | Tirana | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.39.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Tirana / Dinamo Tirana)
- 1.26 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Tirana / Dinamo Tirana)
- 1.03 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tirana goals. Columns: Dinamo Tirana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tirana or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Dinamo Tirana) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win by 2+ | 24% | 4.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Tirana and Dinamo Tirana recent form
Tirana
3W 2D 1L
Dinamo Tirana
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Dinamo Tirana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tirana at home only, Dinamo Tirana away only.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Tirana 1 · draws 3 · Dinamo Tirana 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Dinamo Tirana | 1-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-03-04 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-0 | Tirana | Cup |
| 2026-02-11 | Tirana | 0-2 | Dinamo Tirana | Cup |
| 2026-02-07 | Tirana | 1-1 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-03 | Dinamo Tirana | 6-2 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-09-27 | Tirana | 1-2 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-04-27 | Dinamo Tirana | 0-2 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2025-03-02 | Tirana | 1-4 | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-12-14 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-1 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-10-19 | Tirana | 0-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vora vs Vllaznia Shkodër — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- AF Elbasani vs Partizani 2026-10-28
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës — match page 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Tirana, previous: Vllaznia Shkodër – Tirana, 2026-10-24
- Tirana, next: Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Dinamo Tirana, previous: Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Dinamo Tirana, next: Vora v Dinamo Tirana analysis