Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture on 2026-10-28, Skenderbeu Korce has a 47% chance to win against Laci, who has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% probability. Skenderbeu Korce's expected goals are 1.47, while Laci's are 0.99, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
However, the match could see different outcomes. Both teams to score has a 49% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 44%. Recent form shows Skenderbeu Korce with a mixed record of W-L-D-D-L-L, while Laci has struggled with L-L-L-W-L-W. These factors could influence the final result.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci: model vs market
| Source | Skenderbeu Korce | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.88.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.31
- Attack rating (Skenderbeu Korce / Laci)
- 1.02 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Skenderbeu Korce / Laci)
- 1.00 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Skenderbeu Korce goals. Columns: Laci goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Laci | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Skenderbeu Korce or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Laci) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Skenderbeu Korce win by 2+ | 25% | 4.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci recent form
Skenderbeu Korce
2W 2D 2L
Laci
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Skenderbeu Korce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Laci away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Skenderbeu Korce at home only, Laci away only.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Skenderbeu Korce 4 · draws 1 · Laci 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-1 | Laci | 1st Division |
| 2025-12-13 | Laci | 2-1 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1st Division |
| 2025-09-26 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1-0 | Laci | 1st Division |
| 2025-04-06 | Laci | 1-2 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2025-02-10 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-2 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-11-30 | Laci | 1-0 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2024-09-21 | Skenderbeu Korce | 2-1 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-05-08 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1-1 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-03-01 | Laci | 0-1 | Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| 2023-12-17 | Skenderbeu Korce | 0-1 | Laci | Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vora vs Vllaznia Shkodër — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana 2026-10-28
- AF Elbasani vs Partizani 2026-10-28
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës — match page 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Skenderbeu Korce, previous: Partizani – Skenderbeu Korce, 2026-10-24
- Skenderbeu Korce, next: Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër: odds and pick
- Laci, previous: Laci v Vora analysis
- Laci, next: AF Elbasani vs Laci: odds and pick