Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë faces Teuta Durrës with a 33% chance of winning for Egnatia compared to 37% for Teuta. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects Teuta's stronger recent form, winning 6 consecutive matches. Egnatia's recent form shows 3 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games, which could affect their performance.
The model suggests a 44% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score. However, Egnatia's expected goals are 1.17, while Teuta's are slightly higher at 1.26. If Egnatia can improve their attacking output, the match could see more goals than predicted.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës: model vs market
| Source | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Teuta Durrës |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Teuta Durrës)
- 1.37 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Teuta Durrës)
- 0.99 / 0.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals. Columns: Teuta Durrës goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Teuta Durrës | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw) | 60% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Teuta Durrës) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win by 2+ | 18% | 5.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës recent form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3W 2D 1L
Teuta Durrës
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teuta Durrës away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home only, Teuta Durrës away only.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3 · draws 0 · Teuta Durrës 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Teuta Durrës | 3-2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-03-09 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 4-2 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-23 | Teuta Durrës | 0-1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-28 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1-0 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vora vs Vllaznia Shkodër — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana 2026-10-28
- Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- AF Elbasani vs Partizani 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, previous: Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, next: Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
- Teuta Durrës, previous: Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani: odds and pick