Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview
In the Albania Superliga, Dinamo Tirana faces Egnatia Rrogozhinë with 34% chances for a Dinamo win, 25% for a draw, and 41% for an Egnatia victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs with a 9% probability. The model suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
Dinamo Tirana's expected goals stand at 1.57, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë has 1.74. Recent form shows Dinamo with two losses and four wins, while Egnatia has four wins, one draw, and one loss. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: model vs market
| Source | Dinamo Tirana | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Dinamo Tirana / Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
- 1.27 / 1.61
- Defence rating (Dinamo Tirana / Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
- 1.07 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dinamo Tirana goals. Columns: Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dinamo Tirana or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win by 2+ | 22% | 4.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
Dinamo Tirana
4W 0D 2L
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dinamo Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Tirana at home only, Egnatia Rrogozhinë away only.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Tirana 1 · draws 1 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-05-02 | Dinamo Tirana | 2-0 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-14 | Dinamo Tirana | 1-2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-18 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce 2026-10-24
- Laci v Vora — match page 2026-10-24
- Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Vllaznia Shkodër v Tirana — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Dinamo Tirana, previous: Dinamo Tirana v Teuta Durrës analysis
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, previous: Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 2026-10-22
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, next: Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction