Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce, the 1X2 probabilities show Partizani at 35%, a draw at 26%, and Skenderbeu Korce at 39%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Partizani recording L-L-L-W-L-D and Skenderbeu Korce at W-L-D-D-L-L. The expected goals are 1.50 for Partizani and 1.60 for Skenderbeu Korce. While there is a 60% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood for both teams to score, unexpected performances could alter the outcome.
Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce: model vs market
| Source | Partizani | Draw | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.18
- Attack rating (Partizani / Skenderbeu Korce)
- 1.00 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Partizani / Skenderbeu Korce)
- 1.84 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Partizani goals. Columns: Skenderbeu Korce goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partizani | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Partizani or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Skenderbeu Korce) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Skenderbeu Korce win by 2+ | 23% | 4.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce recent form
Partizani
1W 0D 5L
Skenderbeu Korce
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Partizani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Skenderbeu Korce away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Partizani at home only, Skenderbeu Korce away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Laci v Vora — match page 2026-10-24
- Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Vllaznia Shkodër v Tirana — match page 2026-10-24
- Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Partizani, previous: Vora vs Partizani prediction
- Skenderbeu Korce, previous: Skenderbeu Korce vs AF Elbasani prediction