Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture, Vllaznia Shkodër faces Tirana with a 16% chance of winning for Vllaznia compared to 62% for Tirana. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Tirana's expected goals of 2.08 against Vllaznia's 0.98.
While Over 2.5 goals stands at 59% and both teams to score is at 56%, the outcome could shift if Vllaznia improves its recent form, which includes just 1 win in their last 6 matches. Tirana, on the other hand, has shown better consistency with 3 wins in their last 5 games.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana: model vs market
| Source | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 21% | 63% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 21% | 63% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / Tirana)
- 0.82 / 1.42
- Defence rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / Tirana)
- 1.50 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vllaznia Shkodër goals. Columns: Tirana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 15% | 6.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.65 | |
| Tirana | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vllaznia Shkodër or draw) | 37% | 2.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Tirana) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win by 2+ | 41% | 2.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana recent form
Vllaznia Shkodër
1W 1D 4L
Tirana
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vllaznia Shkodër at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tirana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vllaznia Shkodër at home only, Tirana away only.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Vllaznia Shkodër 2 · draws 1 · Tirana 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Tirana | 1-0 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-27 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 3-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-20 | Tirana | 1-1 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-24 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 3-1 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce 2026-10-24
- Laci v Vora — match page 2026-10-24
- Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Vllaznia Shkodër, previous: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër: odds and pick
- Tirana, previous: Tirana – Laci, 2026-10-17