Tirana vs Laci preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Tirana and Laci, the 1X2 probabilities show Tirana at 68%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 (10%). Tirana's expected goals stand at 2.44, while Laci's is just 1.00. This suggests a strong advantage for Tirana, particularly in attack.
However, there are factors that could change the outcome. Laci has shown some resilience with a recent form of L-L-W-L-W-D, which indicates they can compete. Additionally, while the model predicts 67% for Over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, unexpected performances from either side could lead to a different match result.
Tirana vs Laci: model vs market
| Source | Tirana | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.00.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tirana and Laci expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Tirana / Laci)
- 1.49 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Tirana / Laci)
- 1.01 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tirana vs Laci score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tirana goals. Columns: Laci goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tirana vs Laci goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tirana vs Laci
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.29 | |
| Laci | 13% | 7.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tirana or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Laci) | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win by 2+ | 47% | 2.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Tirana and Laci recent form
Tirana
2W 2D 2L
Laci
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Laci away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tirana at home only, Laci away only.
Tirana vs Laci head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Tirana 3 · draws 4 · Laci 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-06 | Tirana | 4-1 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-12-21 | Laci | 3-1 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-10-26 | Tirana | 1-1 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2024-08-19 | Laci | 0-0 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-05-04 | Laci | 1-0 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2024-02-26 | Tirana | 1-1 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2023-12-10 | Laci | 2-2 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2023-10-03 | Tirana | 0-3 | Laci | Superliga |
| 2023-05-21 | Laci | 1-3 | Tirana | Superliga |
| 2023-03-11 | Tirana | 3-2 | Laci | Superliga |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës 2026-10-16
- Skenderbeu Korce v AF Elbasani — match page 2026-10-17
- Vora vs Partizani — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Vllaznia Shkodër — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Tirana, previous: Partizani vs Tirana: odds and pick
- Laci, previous: Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction