Updated

Albania Superliga · Matchday 7

Vora vs Partizani

· Vora Stadium, Vora

Alin prediction Vora to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
VoraDrawPartizani

Vora vs Partizani preview

In the match between Vora and Partizani, the model gives Vora a 59% chance to win, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. There is a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 69%. Vora's expected goals are 2.39, while Partizani's are 1.37.

However, recent form shows Vora with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, and Partizani has lost three of their last five. This inconsistency could impact the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.

Vora vs Partizani: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVoraDrawPartizani
Model59%20%20%
Market———
Published59%20%20%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.37.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Vora and Partizani expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.39Vora
1.37Partizani
Total expected goals
3.76
Attack rating (Vora / Partizani)
1.10 / 1.04
Defence rating (Vora / Partizani)
1.30 / 1.70

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vora vs Partizani score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 1 4.8% 8.4% 5.2% 2.4% 1.1% 2 6.6% 9.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.3% 3 5.3% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 4+ 5.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 1.1%

Rows: Vora goals. Columns: Partizani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vora vs Partizani goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 73%
Over 3.5 52%
Both teams to score
69%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vora vs Partizani

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vora59%1.69
Draw20%4.88
Partizani20%4.96
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573%1.38
Under 2.527%3.64
Both teams to scoreYes69%1.46
No31%3.18
Double chance1X (Vora or draw)80%1.25
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or Partizani)41%2.46
Handicap -1Vora win by 2+39%2.57
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Vora and Partizani recent form

Vora 1W 2D 3L
Partizani 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vora at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Partizani away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vora at home only, Partizani away only.

Vora vs Partizani head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Vora 1 · draws 2 · Partizani 1.

VoraDrawsPartizani
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-15Vora2-2PartizaniAlbania Superliga
2026-01-15Partizani0-1VoraAlbania Superliga
2025-11-04Vora0-0PartizaniAlbania Superliga
2025-08-24Partizani1-0VoraAlbania Superliga

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Vora to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Vora